‘Two Man Couch’ contributor Shea Velling stops by to preview the 2010 Academy Awards. Look for Shea to jump on a podcast, live from China, sometime in the near future. Until then we hope you enjoy the thoughts of the controversial and often hilarious Sheabird.
Best Picture
What will happen: Avatar wins in the expanded Best Picture department. It is a huge crowd pleaser that doubles as a very good (but not great) film, but what guarantees it victory is the movie’s revolutionary impact on 3-D technology, which some are already likening to The Wizard of Oz’s popularization of color. From now on, people will expect all big budget blockbuster-type movies to be in 3-D (get ready for Transformers 3: Megan Fox’s 3-D Breasts, coming Summer 2011!). This will go a long way towards curbing the piracy and/or home viewing of the industry’s most profitable efforts, at least until we can watch Avatar or Batman 3-D: Meet Heath Ledger’s Avatar at home or on our laptops with no drop-off in our viewing experience. Expect the Academy to give its highest seal of approval to the protection of Hollywood’s bottom line.
What could happen: An Iraq War drama that is actually good, The Hurt Locker, wins in what is a tough political climate for Democrats. Last time Steve Martin hosted the show, Michael Moore was booed off the stage for Bush bashing. This time around I think the Hollywood Demobamas might want apologize for that move.
What I still can’t believe happened: The Blind Side was my biggest cinematic let down of the year. I really liked the book and how it blended football history with a moving story which, much like the works of Clayton Bigsby, made me proud to be white. I really disliked the movie, which was essentially a Disney sports drama starring the increasingly plastic-looking Sandra Bullock, who must retain about 3% of the face we saw in Speed. Seriously, this movie gets a nomination and Star Trek didn’t? I guess revenge is a dish best served as cold as the Academy’s love for my favorite movie of 2009.
Best Director
What will happen: James Cameron wins for Avatar. Cameron handled every single aspect of this movie personally and his Raymond Babbitt-like attention to detail is apparent from start to finish. No director was more important to their film than Cameron was to his. One thing working against Big Game James is that he is a world-class douchebag who is motivated primarily by a desire to show up the Canadian rednecks he went to high school with (I am not making this up, read the Dec. 2009 Rolling Stone profile of him). Still in a town full of assholes, Cameron is unquestionably the most successful at the box office.
What could happen: Kathryn Bigelow wins for The Hurt Locker as Tiger-hating female voters stick it to Bigelow’s douchebag ex-husband James Cameron.
What can’t happen: Tim Burton can’t win for Alice in Wonderland, which was pushed back from a 2009 release. The thought of seeing the world’s most overrated director (yeah, I said it) and his creepy wife (Helena Bonham Carter) in eccentric outfits watching the show from the audience while engaged in a circle jerk with Johnny Depp (himself no slouch in the overrated department) is enough to make me want to skip the whole thing and just watch Star Trek again.
Best Actor
What will happen: Jeff Bridges gets the Oscar for Crazy Heart. Great actor meets gritty character. Done. Game over. Still, I have one gripe with this: the part of Bad Blake is what great actors must refer to as a layup. Now I love Bridges (who else could carry both Tron and The Big Lebowski?), but I believe it is written in the Los Angles town charter that anytime an actor gains weight to play an alcoholic who has a May-September romance while singing his own songs in a movie we won’t remember 3 years from now, said actor is to win the Best Actor award.
What could happen: Hollywood’s Favorite Son and heir to the throne of Cary Grant, George Clooney, gets the nod as Up in the Air’s Ryan Bingham. Everyone says this movie is “Clooney being Clooney.” I say “bring back Clooney being Batman.”
What won’t happen: Sorry Morgan Freeman, you could not have been more misused in Invictus. Ideally you would have had a very limited but extremely high impact appearance and pulled an Anthony Hopkins, who won this award despite only having 24 minutes of screen time in The Silence of the Lambs.
Best Actress
What will happen: Meryl Streep wins for her performance as Julia Child in Julie & Julia. She totally carries an otherwise terrible movie (Amy Adams anyone?) with a Jamie-Foxx-in-Ray total character immersion. Also, Streep is the consensus best actress alive and yet she hasn’t won an Oscar since 1982. Expect the Academy to go out of its way to change this.
What could happen: 2010-Gabourey Sidibe wins Best Actress. 2011-Sidibe makes a romantic comedy with Chris Brown that 37 people pay to see. 2012-Obama campaigns in black communities with “the star of Precious, Gabourey Sidibe!” as White America collectively says “Oh, check it out, it’s Precious.” 2017-Get In My Belly!: the Gabourey Sidibe/Vern Troyer Sex Tape is released.
What I wish would happen: Carrey Mulligan wins for An Education. She was fantastic in a role that has her pulling dangerously close to Emma Watson for the top spot in my “Don’t Worry, She’s Actually Legal” Rankings (and relegating another promising newcomer, Modern Family’s Sarah Hyland, to 3rd).
Best Supporting Actor
What will happen: Christopher Waltz wins as Colonel Hans Landa in Inglourious Basterds. This one has seemingly already been handed out and I have no problem with that. I also stopped caring who wins this award after Gandalf lost it to Jim Broadbent as Jack Haley in the unforgettable motion picture epic Iris.
What could happen: Woody Harrelson wins for The Messenger. The Iraq War has three chances to win an important Academy Award and with the Pandora War boxing it out in both Best Picture and Best Director, the son of the guy who killed Kennedy could soon be taking his statue to a left-wing rally near you.
What probably won’t happen: Stanley Tucci is on the outside looking in for his performance as the murderer next door in The Lovely Bones. Still, that movie was supposed to be a major player in this awards season and Tucci is the only guy who got out of it alive (look for Mark Wahlberg to resurface in 2015’s The Departed 2: Thicker Accents, co-starring Ray Allen as Officer Jesus Shuttlesworth). Also, anybody who didn’t see Peter Jackson, master of massive, computer generated epics, blowing a moving family drama, please turn in your guns and badges.
Best Supporting Actress
What will happen: Whoever wins this award will almost certainly never be heard from again (remember Jennifer Hudson, Renee Zellweger and Catherine Zeta-Jones?). Fortunately Mo’Nique (Precious and BET’s The Mo’Nique Show) is well positioned to pull a Whoopie Goldberg and go on to a long career hosting a crappy talk show for women. One blemish on Mo’Nique’s Oscar resume is her refusal to take a hiatus from her show to promote her performance. I can’t think of a worse award season strategy that doesn’t involve releasing Norbit.
What could happen: Vera Farmiga wins for Up in the Air. I believe America is finally ready to forgive her for her Departed accent. Still Anna Kendrick’s being nominated in this the same category will cost her votes as the anti-Mo’Nique camp decides which FOWC (Female Onscreen With Clooney) they like better.
What I won’t let happen: I don’t want to live in a world where Maggie Gyllenhaal has an Academy Award. I hate actors who have “indie-cred” or love from the film festival crowds and Gyllenhaal has a ton of both. She was the third worst part of The Dark Knight (trailing only the killing off of Two-Face before he got his own turn as the main villain and “Where is he!?!”) I’d take the actress formerly known as Katie Holmes playing wet-blanket love interest Rachel Dawes over Gyllenhall, hands down. Now that is saying something.
Note from ‘Two Man Couch’: The thoughts and opinions of Shea in no way reflect the views of the principle contributors of ‘Two Man Couch,’ however, we felt censoring his column would not be in the spirit of protecting the First Amendment of the United States Constitution.